{"id":10643,"date":"2025-06-02T04:35:57","date_gmt":"2025-06-02T00:35:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/agrcenter.com\/?p=10643"},"modified":"2025-06-21T17:58:00","modified_gmt":"2025-06-21T13:58:00","slug":"what-is-behind-the-scenes-of-the-founding-sudan-alliance-in-nairobi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/agrcenter.com\/en\/what-is-behind-the-scenes-of-the-founding-sudan-alliance-in-nairobi\/","title":{"rendered":"Sudanese Political Insights"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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The ancient Gbaya tribe of the former Oubangui-Chari \u2014 now known as the Central African Republic \u2014 has passed down a traditional proverb:<\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

\u201cIt is not shameful to fall before the mountains, but it is utterly disgraceful to deny their strength.\u201d<\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

The administration of President Faustin-Archange Touad\u00e9ra was the first among Sudan\u2019s regional neighbors to assess the war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). Despite Bangui\u2019s ambiguous \u2014 or arguably complicit \u2014 stance on the Sudanese crisis, its geographical proximity placed it under local, security, and intelligence pressure. The only escape from this encirclement lies through Khartoum. This reality applies to all of Sudan\u2019s neighbors. However, Bangui has shown the most courage and willingness to reverse course and admit the miscalculation of having once bet on the RSF.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

There is a longstanding conviction, shared from Bangui to N\u2019Djamena and Addis Ababa, that national security is tied to proximity to \u2014 or distance from \u2014 Khartoum. This presents an opportunity not only for Bangui, which seeks Sudan\u2019s favor via Russian channels, but also for Sudan to reassert its regional influence.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

The Central African Republic\u2019s delegation visit to Sudan aims to secure Khartoum\u2019s position on two key issues:<\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

\ud83d\udd06 The leaders of the Coalition of Patriots for Change (CPC).<\/p>

\ud83d\udd06 The case of Armel Sayo.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Bangui believes Khartoum is uniquely capable of controlling the growing opposition in the Central African Republic. Despite security efforts to pressure Sayo \u2014 including the detention of family members and their transfer to different prisons in late April, and his recent handover via Cameroon \u2014 such measures failed to counter the rising influence of the Military Coalition for the Salvation of the People, which Bangui believes is backed by Sudan.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

President Touad\u00e9ra\u2019s administration fully understands Khartoum\u2019s potential role in either strengthening or undermining its national security. Thus emerged the Strategy of Convergence and Cooperation with Sudan, a necessary shift after the failed reliance on the RSF.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Khartoum would do well to activate a \u201cvision-sharing\u201d strategy, provided that Bangui\u2019s demands are clear, precise, and grounded in respect for Sudanese sovereignty and recognition of the role Sudan\u2019s institutions play in regional stability. Like its neighbors, Bangui has experienced the fallout of the Sudanese crisis on its internal security, reaching a state of political hesitation on several pressing matters.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Accordingly, the Central African delegation currently in Sudan is expected to address the following points:<\/strong><\/p>

\ud83d\udd06 Set a timeline for implementing the Strategy of Convergence and Cooperation, as agreed upon by both presidents during their UN Security Council meeting.<\/p>

\ud83d\udd06 Address the PK5 district issue in Bangui. While Khartoum understands Bangui\u2019s strategic view of PK5 as the capital\u2019s economic hub, Bangui is also aware of Khartoum\u2019s security and intelligence ties with armed groups in the area.<\/p>

\ud83d\udd06 Leverage Khartoum\u2019s influence over the armed opposition to lay the groundwork for national reconciliation, a key issue troubling the Central African Republic.<\/p>

\ud83d\udd06 It is not unlikely that Bangui will request Khartoum\u2019s assistance in convincing Armel Sayo to dissolve the Military Coalition for the Salvation and Reconstruction of the People, which he founded.<\/p>

It is recommended that Khartoum adopt the following actions:<\/p>

\ud83d\udd06 Maintain an equal distance from all parties to the Central African Republic\u2019s internal conflict, especially as long as Bangui continues its tacit support of the RSF.<\/p>

\ud83d\udd06 Retain the card of the Central African opposition confidentially. Although this may unsettle Bangui, it serves as a guarantee of their commitment to neutralizing the RSF and undermining its agenda \u2014 a legitimate right for Khartoum after its bitter experience with militias that compromise state sovereignty.<\/p>

\ud83d\udd06 Amplify, both in media and diplomacy, that the war waged by the RSF against Sudan\u2019s armed forces is a war to dismantle the Sudanese state, its resources, its national institutions, and its people. It is far removed from any vision of national will, social justice, or democratic equality. Confronting this threat and its backers is a sacred duty.<\/p>

\ud83d\udd06 Reaffirm to all international diplomatic missions that all Sudanese military and security bodies are aligned in their understanding that the multi-national RSF militia is merely a tool for reshaping the regional map in ways that conflict with Sudan\u2019s future and the broader interests of the Horn of Africa.<\/p>

\ud83d\udd06 Consistently highlight, in all diplomatic platforms, that all international stakeholders in the Sudanese crisis have been forced to reconsider their political and security approaches, as they have come to realize the impossibility of achieving their objectives through lawless groups \u2014 no matter how much logistical support they receive or how many actors back them.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Dr. Amina Al-Araimi<\/strong><\/p>

Emirati Researcher in African Affairs<\/em><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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