{"id":12290,"date":"2025-10-24T04:12:15","date_gmt":"2025-10-24T00:12:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/agrcenter.com\/?p=12290"},"modified":"2025-10-24T04:20:23","modified_gmt":"2025-10-24T00:20:23","slug":"scenarios-des-elections-en-cote-divoire-entre-le-passe-le-present-et-lavenir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/agrcenter.com\/fr\/scenarios-des-elections-en-cote-divoire-entre-le-passe-le-present-et-lavenir\/","title":{"rendered":"De Khartoum \u00e0 Nyala, \u00abO\u00f9 se situe Washington ?\u00bb (Analyse des n\u00e9gociations de l\u2019\u00c9tat soudanais)\u00a0\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Les n\u00e9gociations entre l\u2019arm\u00e9e soudanaise et la milice des Forces de soutien rapide (FSR), sous parrainage et supervision am\u00e9ricaine, ne sont pas \u00e9trang\u00e8res aux r\u00e9centes attaques par drones visant l\u2019a\u00e9roport de Khartoum et plusieurs villes soudanaises. Elles sont \u00e9galement li\u00e9es \u00e0 la menace t\u00e9l\u00e9vis\u00e9e r\u00e9cente du chef de la milice des FSR, Hemedti, annon\u00e7ant des frappes contre les a\u00e9roports \u00e0 l\u2019int\u00e9rieur et \u00e0 l\u2019ext\u00e9rieur du Soudan. Il semble que ces n\u00e9gociations visent \u00e0 placer la d\u00e9l\u00e9gation soudanaise \u2014 repr\u00e9sentant la direction nationale de l\u2019\u00c9tat soudanais \u2014 dans une posture d\u2019instabilit\u00e9 subtilement pr\u00e9sent\u00e9e comme convaincante, laissant entendre que la \u00ab guerre des drones \u00bb n\u2019a pas encore commenc\u00e9, tout en poursuivant l\u2019armement de la milice des FSR.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Ce type de man\u0153uvre, que les services de renseignement internationaux qualifient de \u00ab La persuasion des passants \u00bb, est devenu une caract\u00e9ristique m\u00eame dans les d\u00e9bats de recherche en s\u00e9curit\u00e9 politique. Il d\u00e9crit des responsables qui changent de position tout en conservant un discours si persuasif que le public continue \u00e0 les croire malgr\u00e9 leurs volte-face \u2014 un comportement d\u00e9lib\u00e9r\u00e9ment employ\u00e9 par des services de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 hostiles pour saper la confiance des citoyens dans la direction de l\u2019\u00c9tat.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Par ailleurs, le choix de la capitale am\u00e9ricaine Washington comme lieu de n\u00e9gociation rev\u00eat, \u00e0 lui seul, une signification strat\u00e9gique et de renseignement que l\u2019administration am\u00e9ricaine consid\u00e8re comme tangible, correspondant encore aujourd\u2019hui \u00e0 sa vision strat\u00e9gique de l\u2019avenir de la r\u00e9gion de l\u2019Afrique de l\u2019Est. Ceci est renforc\u00e9 par le d\u00e9ploiement r\u00e9cent d\u2019agents am\u00e9ricains \u00e0 Port-Soudan. \u00c0 cela s\u2019ajoute la dimension psychologique et l\u2019impact sur l\u2019\u00e9tat d\u2019esprit des principaux n\u00e9gociateurs \u2014 la d\u00e9l\u00e9gation de l\u2019\u00c9tat soudanais et celle de la milice des FSR \u2014 qui n\u2019auraient probablement pas ressenti pleinement la port\u00e9e et la complexit\u00e9 de ces dimensions si les m\u00eames n\u00e9gociations s\u2019\u00e9taient tenues dans les capitales des pays du Quatuor impliqu\u00e9s.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Ces n\u00e9gociations cherchent \u00e9galement \u00e0 envoyer un message clair et direct \u00e0 la direction de l\u2019\u00c9tat soudanais : il n\u2019existe aucun moyen d\u2019arr\u00eater les progr\u00e8s politiques et militaires r\u00e9alis\u00e9s par l\u2019arm\u00e9e soudanaise apr\u00e8s la lib\u00e9ration de la ville de Bara, sauf en la contraignant \u00e0 n\u00e9gocier. Cela \u00e9quivaut \u00e0 neutraliser toute tentative d\u2019exclure la milice des FSR de la sc\u00e8ne politique soudanaise, m\u00eame si cela constitue un d\u00e9fi direct \u00e0 la volont\u00e9 populaire.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Par cons\u00e9quent, l\u2019\u00c9tat soudanais, parall\u00e8lement \u00e0 la dynamique internationale dirig\u00e9e contre lui, doit mettre en \u0153uvre les mesures suivantes :<\/p>

  • \ud83d\udd06 Poursuivre les op\u00e9rations efficaces de mobilisation nationale g\u00e9n\u00e9rale d\u00e9j\u00e0 initi\u00e9es, qui ont permis de reprendre le contr\u00f4le de l\u2019\u00c9tat et de ses infrastructures vitales, tout en infligeant un revers d\u00e9cisif \u00e0 la milice des FSR multinationale.<\/li>
  • \ud83d\udd06 D\u00e9velopper les programmes des directions et services d\u2019orientation morale dans toutes les institutions militaires et s\u00e9curitaires, et proposer des programmes sp\u00e9cifiques adapt\u00e9s \u00e0 la composante civile pour \u00eatre mis en \u0153uvre dans les \u00e9coles et universit\u00e9s, afin de pr\u00e9server et renforcer le front national interne.<\/li>
  • \ud83d\udd06 \u00c9tendre les op\u00e9rations de d\u00e9minage et leur d\u00e9ploiement dans toutes les villes et \u00c9tats soudanais afin d\u2019\u00e9liminer toutes les menaces pesant sur la vie des citoyens (y compris la conclusion d\u2019un partenariat avec Ankara \u00e0 cet effet).<\/li>
  • \ud83d\udd06 Intensifier les op\u00e9rations militaires et \u00e9largir l\u2019\u00e9tendue des zones lib\u00e9r\u00e9es, en particulier avec le retour des populations d\u00e9plac\u00e9es vers leurs \u00c9tats d\u2019origine.<\/li><\/ul>

    \u00a0<\/p>

    Il faut le dire clairement : les n\u00e9gociations men\u00e9es par Washington entre l\u2019arm\u00e9e soudanaise et la milice des FSR ne r\u00e9pondront pas aux attentes du peuple soudanais. M\u00eame si elles r\u00e9ussissent, elles se limiteront \u00e0 l\u2019ouverture de corridors s\u00e9curis\u00e9s pour l\u2019acheminement de l\u2019aide humanitaire vers la r\u00e9gion d\u2019El-Fasher, sans aller au-del\u00e0.<\/p>

    \u00a0<\/p>

    Le projet de partition, qui hante encore l\u2019imaginaire occidental depuis 1922 \u2014 d\u00e9butant avec la politique des zones ferm\u00e9es \u2014, s\u2019est transform\u00e9 en plan strat\u00e9gique global apr\u00e8s 1983, lors de la deuxi\u00e8me guerre civile, et a trouv\u00e9 une application concr\u00e8te en 2011 avec la s\u00e9cession du Sud. Aujourd\u2019hui, il se poursuit pour tenter de d\u00e9manteler ce qui reste de l\u2019\u00c9tat soudanais par la guerre civile et les conflits militaires et politiques.<\/p>

    \u00a0<\/p>

    Quant \u00e0 la r\u00e9surrection du \u00ab Forum de Djeddah \u00bb, Riyad comprend que ce forum, parrain\u00e9 par les \u00c9tats-Unis, n\u2019a jamais \u00e9t\u00e9 con\u00e7u pour r\u00e9soudre la crise soudanaise, mais pour la prolonger, maintenant le conflit entre \u00ab l\u2019arm\u00e9e nationale soudanaise \u00bb et la \u00ab milice des FSR \u00bb dans un cercle sans retour, pr\u00e9parant ainsi ce que certaines \u00e9lites africaines qualifient de \u00ab Le Soudan n\u2019est pas comme son peuple \u00bb.<\/p>

    \u00a0<\/p>

    Dr.Amina Alarimi<\/strong><\/p>

    Chercheuse \u00e9miratie sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9e dans les affaires africaines.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Les n\u00e9gociations entre l\u2019arm\u00e9e soudanaise et la milice des Forces de soutien rapide (FSR), sous parrainage et supervision am\u00e9ricaine, ne sont pas \u00e9trang\u00e8res aux r\u00e9centes attaques par drones visant l\u2019a\u00e9roport de Khartoum et plusieurs villes soudanaises. Elles sont \u00e9galement li\u00e9es \u00e0 la menace t\u00e9l\u00e9vis\u00e9e r\u00e9cente du chef de la milice des FSR, <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":12293,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[98],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12290","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-studies-and-research-fr"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nDe Khartoum \u00e0 Nyala, \u00abO\u00f9 se situe Washington ?\u00bb (Analyse des n\u00e9gociations de l\u2019\u00c9tat soudanais)\u00a0\u00a0 - \u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0644\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0631\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/agrcenter.com\/fr\/scenarios-des-elections-en-cote-divoire-entre-le-passe-le-present-et-lavenir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"De Khartoum \u00e0 Nyala, \u00abO\u00f9 se situe Washington ?\u00bb (Analyse des n\u00e9gociations de l\u2019\u00c9tat soudanais)\u00a0\u00a0 - \u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0644\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0631\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Les n\u00e9gociations entre l\u2019arm\u00e9e soudanaise et la milice des Forces de soutien rapide (FSR), sous parrainage et supervision am\u00e9ricaine, ne sont pas \u00e9trang\u00e8res aux r\u00e9centes attaques par drones visant l\u2019a\u00e9roport de Khartoum et plusieurs villes soudanaises. 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